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Ceiling of a Task: When Can a Transformer Succeed Without Its Chain of Thought?

Jiashu He, Jinxuan Fan, Xiao Xiao, Radu Marculescu, Alejandro Ribeiro

Analyzes tasks for which a fixed-depth transformer needs an informative chain of thought to exceed a task-specific accuracy limit. Combines circuit-based results with experiments that replace, erase, or shuffle reasoning tokens, including comparisons with filler tokens.

First public: · Added to this list: October 18, 2026

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arXiv:2609.33134 · Initial submission: 2026-09-27

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Analysis and evaluation — Measure how well these methods work, investigate what their internal computation does, and identify where they fail. This includes experiments, studies of model internals, and mathematical results.

Thinking tokens — Give a model extra tokens for computation, such as pauses, filler symbols, or learned planning tokens. These tokens need not spell out the solution.

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